US Intel Warns of Possible Russian Probe on NATO This Fall

New assessments outline risks like cyberattacks, sabotage, or small incursions into Poland or the Baltics, aimed at probing alliance unity without full war.

This updates prior views that Russia would steer clear while focused on Ukraine, spurred by incidents such as a Russian-linked explosive drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport and flights over a key military site.

Russian media counters with claims of NATO strikes on its soil, while Pentagon officials call it a risk evaluation, not an imminent threat, as investigations continue.